Full Disclosure mailing list archives
Re: Why Microsoft should make windows open source
From: Vincent Archer <varcher () denyall com>
Date: Tue, 10 Apr 2007 11:40:20 +0200
On Wed, 2007-04-04 at 15:00 -0400, Valdis.Kletnieks () vt edu wrote:
I really can't foresee *any* scenario that has Microsoft disappearing in under 20 years - except global economic upheaval where the survival of Microsoft will be the *least* of our worries....
Beyond economic upheaval, a technological upheaval is far more probable. Microsoft negociated rather adequately the transition from standalone to internet technology, but it could have failed. IBM lost their edge because they failed to negociate in time the transition in the computing market from the mini/mainframe model to the desktop PC/server. They survived, but went from the dominant actor of the market to "another guy who does nice laptops". Microsoft has a dominant position in the market of the mouse/keyboard/graphics user interface. If the technology changes tomorrow, they can lose that position. Once lost, it's hard to get it back; the new king of the hill doesn't get there by chance. Let's say that, in ten years, you get the brain-computer DNI (Direct Neural Interfacing) tech working, making the use of a mouse and a keyboard about as obsolete as a teletype, and rendering the whole Windows OS paradigm obsolete... that's where the Microsoft momentum can falter. That, or major blunders. Microsoft has enough resources to survive most of anything... but you can survive as the number 2 or 3, or #5 guy on the market. Survival is not dominance. -- Vincent ARCHER varcher () denyall com Tel : +33 (0)1 40 07 47 14 Fax : +33 (0)1 40 07 47 27 Deny All - 23, rue Notre Dame des Victoires - 75002 Paris - France _______________________________________________ Full-Disclosure - We believe in it. Charter: http://lists.grok.org.uk/full-disclosure-charter.html Hosted and sponsored by Secunia - http://secunia.com/
Current thread:
- Why Microsoft should make windows open source James Matthews (Apr 02)
- Re: Why Microsoft should make windows open source Troy Cregger (Apr 04)
- Re: Why Microsoft should make windows open source Simon Smith (Apr 04)
- Re: Why Microsoft should make windows open source Morning Wood (Apr 04)
- Re: Why Microsoft should make windows open source Valdis . Kletnieks (Apr 04)
- Re: Why Microsoft should make windows open source Troy Cregger (Apr 04)
- Re: Why Microsoft should make windows open source Troy Cregger (Apr 04)
- Re: Why Microsoft should make windows open source Valdis . Kletnieks (Apr 04)
- Re: Why Microsoft should make windows open source Vincent Archer (Apr 10)
- Re: Why Microsoft should make windows open source Simon Smith (Apr 04)
- Re: Why Microsoft should make windows open source Troy Cregger (Apr 04)