Re: Internet's bandwidth health still in trouble, report says

[Bruce Ediger <eballen1 () qwest net>]

On Mon, 24 Nov 2008, Juha-Matti Laurio wrote:

> Then, Nemertes projected that traffic growth would eclipse supply by 2010,
> but the firm now says it has adjusted its projections to reflect
> deteriorating global economic conditions."

Wait, doesn't this just indicate that a simple linear projection
into the future just doesn't work?

I mean, there's always something that prevents an infinite linear growth,
negative feedback of some sort, or even a failure at some level, causing the
situation to go non-linear.

The "deteriorating global economic conditions" cited just prove that the
initial linear projection is just a bad guess.  The fact that (in retrospect)
most horrible things end not with a bang, but a whimper seems to confirm that
non-linear increases in negative feedback often ameliorate what otherwise would
constitute a Disaster of Biblical Proportions.

> More at
> http://www.networkworld.com/news/2008/112108-internet-bandwidth-trouble.html?hpg1=bn

Death of the Internet predicted, film at 11, as they used to say.
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