Canada -- Daramatic Internet Growth and Price Reductions

[Dave Farber <farber () central cis upenn edu>]

> Date: Fri, 31 Mar 95 10:58:52 PST
> From: "Bill St. Arnaud +1 613 660-3497" <bstarn () canarie ca>
> Subject: Daramatic Internet Growth and Price Reductions
> To: CANARIE National Test Network <testnet () canarie ca>


> Some of our European and American friends may be interested to know how much
> it costs to establish a personal Web site in Canada. In Ottawa there are now
> a couple of ISP's who include a personal web site as part of their service
> offering.
>
> The Cost is $CDN 225 per year or $CDN 25 per month (approx $US 160/yr or $US
> 15/mo) which includes 50 hours dial up access at 28.8 Kbps SLIP/PPP and
> includes 3 Mbytes of Personal Web Disk Space on the host server at T1 access
> speeds!!
>
> With these kinds of deals all sorts of individuals, associations and small
> businesses will be putting up their own Web sites.  The growth in Internet
> traffic is going to be absolutely phenomenal and drive the demand for
> broadband networks.
>
> To give you an indication of the growth of Internet traffic -- in Canada-- in
> 1992 the Internet traffic in Canada was doubling every 5.3 months, in 1993 it
> was doubling every 4.8 months, in 1994 it was doubling every 4.4 months, and
> by all indications so far in 1995 it will be doubling at rate somewhat less
> than every 4 months!
>
> These growth rates are playing havoc with any attempts to predict traffic
> volumes 2 or 3 years hence. Traditional telecommunications industry
> forecasters are used to making traffic predictions 5 years out with
> confidence levels approaching 85%.  With the Internet, you can't predict more
> than 6 months out, and even at that you may have less than a 50% confidence
> level in your forecasts!!
>
>
> Bill
>
> -------------------------------------
> Bill St. Arnaud        Voice: +1 613 660-3497
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