IP: Global Trends 2015: A Dialogue About the Future With Nongovernment Experts

[David Farber <dave () farber net>]

I was involved in some of the meetings held djf


> Date: Sat, 3 Nov 2001 19:43:38 -0500
> To: dave () farber net
> From: Gene Spafford <spaf () cerias purdue edu>
>
> This was issued last year.   There are some very interesting statements in 
> here, considering they were written before 9/11/01.
>
> http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/globaltrends2015/index.html

Reported in IP

Subject: IP: This is the world in 2015 CIA perspective

·       From: Dave Farber <farber () cis upenn edu>
·       Date: Sun, 31 Dec 2000 09:18:42 -0500



>From: "the terminal of Geoff Goodfellow" <geoff () iconia com>
>To: "Dave E-mail Pamphleteer Farber" <farber () cis upenn edu>
>
>This is the world in 2015
>By James Langton in New York
>
>   THE world is on the brink of a new era that may resemble the script of a
>James Bond film in which international affairs are increasingly determined
>by large and powerful organisations rather than governments, according to a
>study just published by the CIA in Washington.
>
>These could include alliances between some of the most powerful criminal
>groups such as the Mafia and Chinese triads. Such groups, according to the
>CIA, "will corrupt leaders of unstable, economically fragile or failing
>states, insinuate themselves into troubled banks and businesses, and
>co-operate with insurgent political movements to control substantial
>geographic areas".
>
>The agency adds: "Their income will come from narcotics trafficking; aliens
>smuggling; trafficking in women and children; smuggling toxic materials,
>hazardous wastes, illicit arms, military technologies, and other contraband;
>financial fraud; and racketeering."
>
>The 70-page report, Global Trends 2015, will be required reading for the new
>president, George W Bush, and his senior policy advisers. It suggests that
>the early years of the coming century are likely to be filled with both
>potential and peril.
>
><<snip>>
>
>http://www.telegraph.co.uk/et?ac=004071676359148&rtmo=r9XahmDX&atmo=rrrrrrrq
>&pg=/et/00/12/31/wcia31.html
>
>the 70-page report:
>http://www.odci.gov/cia/publications/globaltrends2015/index.html
>


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