Interesting People mailing list archives
more on re: 2029, A Worldwide Mesh?
From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Fri, 2 Dec 2005 20:56:27 -0500
Begin forwarded message: From: Dewayne Hendricks <dewayne () warpspeed com> Date: December 2, 2005 1:19:40 PM EST To: Dewayne-Net Technology List <dewayne-net () warpspeed com> Subject: [Dewayne-Net] re: 2029, A Worldwide Mesh? Reply-To: dewayne () warpspeed com [Note: This comment comes from reader Thomas Leavitt. DLH]
From: Thomas Leavitt <thomas () thomasleavitt org> Date: December 2, 2005 9:53:02 AM PST To: dewayne () warpspeed com Subject: Re: [Dewayne-Net] 2029, A Worldwide Mesh? My prediction:The "world wide mesh" will arrive in Asia about 2019, and in the U.S. inabout 2039, due to frenetic lobbying and regulatory manipulation by incumbent telco oligopoly components eager to avoid having their existing revenue streams undermined.In 2019, the average Asian "broadband" connection will exceed 100 mpbs, and the average American "broadband" connection won't exceed 10 mpbs...and 5-10% of the American public will still dialing into the 'net at 56kbps via POTS lines.Given that, in 1999, an aunt of mine in Missouri was still connecting to the world via a party line that required operator assistance to place a long distance telephone call (I discovered this when attempting to dial into my server during an emergency), I don't feel I'm being particularlypessimistic. Thomas
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- more on re: 2029, A Worldwide Mesh? David Farber (Dec 02)