Interesting People mailing list archives
more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years
From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Sat, 15 Jul 2006 10:35:38 -0400
Begin forwarded message: From: Tom Fairlie <tfairlie () frontiernet net> Date: July 15, 2006 12:00:22 AM EDT To: dave () farber net Cc: mac () wireless com, pollack () cs brandeis edu, TClaburn () cmp com Subject: Re: [IP] more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years Dave, Isn't there some sort of monumental irony in this prediction? Computer Science, the only branch of science that I'm awareof that, in terms of is practical application, fails to build significantly
upon its past accomplishments, is now re-predicting that the AI prediction from 20 years ago will now instead occur approximately 25 years in our future. All I can say is: Wow! Is it possible to short-sell AI stocks with 300-month put contracts? The movie AI might be more plausible. Although I enjoy hearing Kurzweil, I think I'd rather have a beer with Douglas Lenat right now instead. Tom Fairlie ----- Original Message ----- From: "David Farber" <dave () farber net> To: <ip () v2 listbox com> Sent: Friday, July 14, 2006 5:52 PM Subject: [IP] more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years Begin forwarded message: From: TClaburn () cmp com Date: July 14, 2006 6:39:04 PM EDT To: dave () farber net Cc: pollack () cs brandeis edu Subject: Re: [IP] more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years Even if one accepts Kurzweil's predictions, the availability of brilliant artificial intelligence says nothing about whether humans will have the wisdom of avail themselves of such knowledge. Human faults will remain undiminished. In 25 years, we will still be making the same mistakes. Thomas Claburn, Editor-at-Large InformationWeek, CMP Media, Inc. 600 Harrison St., 6th Floor San Francisco, CA 94107 tclaburn () cmp com 415.947.6820 http://www.informationweek.com http://www.thomasclaburn.com David Farber <dave () farber net> To 07/14/2006 03:22 PM ip () v2 listbox com cc Please respond to Subject dave () farber net [IP] more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years Begin forwarded message: From: Jordan Pollack <pollack () cs brandeis edu> Date: July 14, 2006 4:28:13 PM EDT To: dave () farber net Subject: Re: [IP] "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years I'm sorry, but baloney is still baloney, because Moore's law doesn't increase the quality and complexity of our software. We'd see something coming on supercomputers or grids. Alternative views about the next 50 years are in the current issue of IEEE Intelligent Systems, *http://tinyurl.com/hul5g *IEEE unfortunately charges a fee, but my paper "Mindless Intellligence" is available free at http://ectomental.com Jordan
From: Mike Cheponis <mac () wireless com> Date: July 13, 2006 11:01:19 AM PDT Subject: "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years "The advent of strong AI (exceeding human intelligence) is the most important transformation this century will see, and it will happen within 25 years, says Ray Kurzweil, who will present this paper at The Dartmouth Artificial Intelligence Conference: The next 50 years (AI@50) on July 14, 2006." Much more at: <http://www.kurzweilai.net/meme/frame.html?main=/ articles/art0683.html> Weblog at: <http://weblog.warpspeed.com>
-- Professor Jordan B. Pollack Dynamic & Evolution Machine Org Computer Science Department FaxPhone/Lab: 781-736-2713/3366 MS018, Brandeis University http://www.demo.cs.brandeis.edu Waltham Massachusetts 02454 e-mail: pollack-at-brandeis.edu Multiplayer Education Games FOR FREE! http://www.beeweb.org ------------------------------------- You are subscribed as tclaburn () cmp com To manage your subscription, go to http://v2.listbox.com/member/?listname=ip Archives at: http://www.interesting-people.org/archives/interesting- people/ ------------------------------------- You are subscribed as tfairlie () frontiernet net To manage your subscription, go to http://v2.listbox.com/member/?listname=ipArchives at: http://www.interesting-people.org/archives/interesting- people/
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- more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years David Farber (Jul 14)
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- more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years David Farber (Jul 15)
- more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years David Farber (Jul 15)
- more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years David Farber (Jul 15)
- more on "Strong" AI to be here within 25 years David Farber (Jul 16)