Interesting People mailing list archives

Is the American dream really dead?


From: "Dave Farber" <farber () gmail com>
Date: Fri, 23 Jun 2017 10:48:20 -0400




Begin forwarded message:

From: Dewayne Hendricks <dewayne () warpspeed com>
Date: June 23, 2017 at 10:05:45 AM EDT
To: Multiple recipients of Dewayne-Net <dewayne-net () warpspeed com>
Subject: [Dewayne-Net] Is the American dream really dead?
Reply-To: dewayne-net () warpspeed com

Is the American dream really dead?
Research shows that poor people in the US are 20 times less likely to believe hard work will get them ahead than 
their (poorer) Latin American counterparts – with white Americans particularly pessimistic. What’s driving their 
despair?
By Carol Graham
Jun 20 2017
<https://www.theguardian.com/inequality/2017/jun/20/is-the-american-dream-really-dead>

The United States has a long-held reputation for exceptional tolerance of income inequality, explained by its high 
levels of social mobility. This combination underpins the American dream – initially conceived of by Thomas Jefferson 
as each citizen’s right to the pursuit of life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness.

This dream is not about guaranteed outcomes, of course, but the pursuit of opportunities. The dream found a persona 
in the fictional characters of the 19th-century writer Horatio Alger Jr – in which young working-class protagonists 
go from from rags to riches (or at least become middle class) in part due to entrepreneurial spirit and hard work. 

Yet the opportunity to live the American dream is much less widely shared today than it was several decades ago. 
While 90% of the children born in 1940 ended up in higher ranks of the income distribution than their parents, only 
40% of those born in 1980 have done so.

Attitudes about inequality have also changed. In 2001, a study found the only Americans who reported lower levels of 
happiness amid greater inequality were left-leaning rich people – with the poor seeing inequality as a sign of future 
opportunity. Such optimism has since been substantially tempered: in 2016, only 38% of Americans thought their 
children would be better off than they are.

In the meantime, the public discussion about inequality has completely by-passed a critical element of the American 
dream: luck. 

Just as in many of Alger’s stories the main character benefits from the assistance of a generous philanthropist, 
there are countless real examples of success in the US where different forms of luck have played a major role. And 
yet, social support for the unlucky – in particular, the poor who cannot stay in full-time employment – has been 
falling substantially in recent years, and is facing even more threats today. 

In short, from new research based on some novel metrics of wellbeing, I find strong evidence that the American dream 
is in tatters, at least.

White despair, minority hope

My research began by comparing mobility attitudes in the US with those in Latin America, a region long known for high 
levels of poverty and inequality (although with progress in the past decades). I explored a question in the Gallup 
world poll, which asks respondents a classic American dream question: “Can an individual who works hard in this 
country get ahead?”

I found very large gaps between the responses of ‘the rich’ and ‘the poor’ in the US (represented by the top and 
bottom 20% income distributions of the Gallup respondents). This was in stark contrast to Latin America, where there 
was no significant difference in attitudes across income groups. Poor people in the US were 20 times less likely to 
believe hard work would get them ahead than were the poor in Latin America, even though the latter are significantly 
worse off in material terms.

[snip]

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