nanog mailing list archives
Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble
From: odlyzko () umn edu (Andrew Odlyzko)
Date: Sun, 08 Aug 2010 08:30:44 -0500
Fascinating. Memories may be plastic (something that has been established scientifically), or else we may have yet another inconsistency to add to the pile of others. Is there any documentation about the "doubling every nine months"? I have never seen that particular claim emanating from anyone involved with WorldCom/UUNet. On the other hand, existing record shows (among others): 1. U.S. Department of Commerce white paper from April 1998, http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/ecommerce/EDEreprt.pdf on p. 8 declares that "UUNET, one of the largest Internet backbone providers, estimates that Internet traffic doubles every 100 days," with a reference to an Inktomi white paper that attributes this claim to Mike O'Dell. The Inktomi report is no longer on the Web, but I can provide a copy to anyone interested. 2. The transcript of the May 2000 presentation by O'Dell at a Stanford conference clearly has him saying that the capacity of the UUNet network, as measured by OC12-miles, doubles every four months, http://www.dtc.umn.edu/~odlyzko/isources/odell-transcript.txt As is explained in my paper, in the 1998-2000 time frame, essentially all the WorldCom/UUNet claims then seemed to be about capacity, not traffic. 3. The year-end 2000 email from O'Dell to Dave Farber's IP list, http://www.interesting-people.org/archives/interesting-people/200011/msg00058.html has him talking of traffic doubling each year, while capacity grows 8-fold. If some time in that period there was a claim of a "doubling every nine months," too, that would be very interesting. Andrew Randy Bush <randy () psg com> wrote:
my memory is that he said doubling every nine months.Mine too.mo's too. i asked. randy
Current thread:
- off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Andrew Odlyzko (Aug 05)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Patrick W. Gilmore (Aug 05)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Roland Perry (Aug 06)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Patrick W. Gilmore (Aug 06)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Roland Perry (Aug 07)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Randy Bush (Aug 07)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble JC Dill (Aug 07)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Randy Bush (Aug 08)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Andrew Odlyzko (Aug 08)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Jared Mauch (Aug 08)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Roland Perry (Aug 09)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Randy Bush (Aug 09)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Roland Perry (Aug 06)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Patrick W. Gilmore (Aug 05)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Andy Davidson (Aug 09)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Jorge Amodio (Aug 06)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Christopher Morrow (Aug 09)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Nick Hilliard (Aug 09)
- Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble Roland Perry (Aug 09)