nanog mailing list archives
RE: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer...
From: "George Bonser" <gbonser () seven com>
Date: Thu, 10 Feb 2011 20:52:40 -0800
As for this "not fixing the problem", IPv4 is going to be a problem
for
MANY years to come. IPv6 deployment is glacially slow. IPv4 being "out of space" is getting news attention now, but will fade from the spotlight shortly
I don't know about that. Yes, v4 will be around for a long time but considering the oligopolies we have in both eyeball and content networks, ones a dozen or so very large networks switch, there is the vast majority of Internet traffic right there. It will be around for a very long time handling a tiny bit of traffic. Facebook alone accounts for 25% of internet traffic in the US. Netflix is estimated to be over 20% and YouTube at 10%. So that's 55% of Internet traffic right there. At the other end of the transaction you have AT&T with 15.7 million, Comcast at 15.9 million, Verizon at 9.2 million and Time Warner at 8.9 million (early 2010 numbers). That's 50 million of the estimated 83 million US broadband subscribers. So once three content providers and four subscriber nets switch, that is over 25% of US internet traffic on v6 (more than half the users and more than half the content they look at). I don't think the growth of v6 traffic is going to be gradual, I think it will increase in steps. You will wake up one morning to find your v6 traffic doubled and some other morning it will double again.
Current thread:
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer..., (continued)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Valdis . Kletnieks (Feb 09)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Owen DeLong (Feb 09)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Ricky Beam (Feb 10)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... David Conrad (Feb 10)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Henk Uijterwaal (Feb 10)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Cutler James R (Feb 10)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Joel Jaeggli (Feb 10)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Matthew Kaufman (Feb 10)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Ricky Beam (Feb 10)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Jack Bates (Feb 10)
- RE: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... George Bonser (Feb 10)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Scott Helms (Feb 11)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Alexander Harrowell (Feb 11)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Ricky Beam (Feb 11)
- RE: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... George Bonser (Feb 11)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Ricky Beam (Feb 11)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Jack Bates (Feb 11)
- RE: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Frank Bulk (Feb 13)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Jack Bates (Feb 14)
- RE: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... George Bonser (Feb 11)
- Re: IPv6 mistakes, was: Re: Looking for an IPv6 naysayer... Valdis . Kletnieks (Feb 11)