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Re: Rising sea levels are going to mess with the internet


From: Rob McEwen <rob () invaluement com>
Date: Mon, 23 Jul 2018 06:54:57 -0400

On 7/23/2018 3:55 AM, Saku Ytti wrote:
On Mon, 23 Jul 2018 at 05:55, Rob McEwen <rob () invaluement com> wrote:
Meanwhile, global warming
alarmists have ALREADY made MANY dire predictions about oceans levels
rising - that ALREADY didn't even come close to true.
Now this discussion does not belong to NANOG

Yes - sad isn't it - that someone else brought this up.

but 'global warming
alarmist' is worrying term to me. What is the perceived harm you're
trying to reduce? Are the acts which try to address the problem the
harm you'd like to see avoided?

Anytime a "big solution" is applied to a "small problem" (or non-existent problem), problems arise. At the least, mis-allocation of resources  can cause situations where other important issues fail to get addressed when the small problem gets an over-allocation of resources. (and real peoples' lives get damaged in the process)

Much in same way, compelling majority of scientists (>95%) believe in
human caused global warming

Your ">95%" is MORE junk science. The popular percentage to throw out is "97%" - as quoted by Obama  and many others - this came from 2013 paper by John Cook - that was so incredibly and dishonestly flawed as to basically be unscientific propaganda. (1) many scientists' papers were falsely classified and (2) he did a "bait and switch" where he "read into" certain papers stuff that wasn't really there.

http://www.populartechnology.net/2013/05/97-study-falsely-classifies-scientists.html
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/blog/2014/jun/06/97-consensus-global-warming

Real science makes "risky predictions" and then is willing to redo the hypothesis when those predictions don't happen as predicted. In contrast, junk science stubbornly sticks to preconceived biases even when the data continually fails to validate the hypothesis (which is happening here!). The fact that you're so quick to try your "appeal to authority" with that fake ">95%" percentage - and you don't seem to understand that a mis-allocation of resources based on junk science is NOT a victim-less crime (so to speak - not technically a crime - but REAL people ARE damaged by this) - undermines your credibility.

Tell you what, I'll admit that I might be wrong the first time that we see a 5+mm per year average of sea level rising over a 5 year period.

HINT: We won't. For example, look at the blue line at the end of this "scary graph" from a "climage change" site that has your same viewpoint: https://insideclimatenews.org/content/average-global-sea-level-rise-1993-2017 - as scary as that chart looks like at first glance - it shows little-to-no *acceleration* - the rate of increase holds steady at 3.5 mm/year - BUT HERE IS THE INTERESTING PART: even this pro-climate change site's own graph shows that the sea levels have failed to rise AT ALL over the past couple of years.

But 15 years from now, we'll see new rounds of NEW dire predictions about alarming FUTURE sea level risings that are allegedly just around the corner.

--
Rob McEwen


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