Politech mailing list archives

FC: More on Europe, US technology boom, and wireless standards


From: Declan McCullagh <declan () well com>
Date: Sat, 15 Jan 2000 12:02:09 -0500

********

Reply-To: "Ira Brodsky" <ibrodsky () datacommresearch com>
From: "Ira Brodsky" <ibrodsky01 () earthlink net>
To: <declan () well com>
Subject: Re: Europe can't match US technology boom --Washington Post
Date: Sat, 15 Jan 2000 10:51:09 -0600
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.5

Although its GSM standard has been extraordinarily successful, Europe has
fallen hopelessly behind the U.S. in mobile phone technology, as well.
European governments mandated the use of GSM to the exclusion of competing
technologies like Qualcomm's CDMA.

When Qualcomm began developing CDMA, Europe's mobile telephone experts
declared that CDMA was based on bad engineering and would never work. When
CDMA was commercially launched in Hong Kong in 1995, Europe's mobile
telephone experts said it was too little, too late. Now that CDMA is a
commercial success (with approx. 50 million users), European mobile
telephone experts claim that they, and not Qualcomm, are the leaders in this
new technology -- even though there is not a single CDMA mobile phone
network operating in Europe.

The Europeans still don't get it. CDMA was invented by what was (at the
time) a small startup, and it was brought to market against great odds. The
Europeans, in contrast, think that innovation can and must be achieved by
decree. Thus, the European Telecommunications Standards Institute (ETSI) has
selected "Wideband CDMA" as conceived by Ericsson and Nokia as its third
generation standard...

Unfortunately, most of the press sees GSM's success as proof that
government-mandated standards are the way to go. A Time Magazine article of
August 23, 1999 entitled "Why Your Cell Phone Stinks" suggested the U.S.'s
competing technology standards have resulted in an expensive but pointless
marketing war, spreading confusion among consumers.

Two of the hottest areas of development now in the U.S. are wireless data
and, more specifically, wireless e-commerce. Within 2 years, affordable 64
kb/s and faster wireless data services will be available throughout the U.S.
The Europeans will still be constrained to sending short messages. The
policy of government-mandated standards is going to blow up in their faces
when they try to bring their "better" flavor of CDMA to market, because
while CDMA is a powerful technology, it is not easy to master.

Ira Brodsky
Datacomm Research Company
Chesterfield, Missouri
Tel: 314-514-9750
Fax: 314-514-9793
E-mail: ibrodsky () datacommresearch com
Web site: www.datacommresearch.com



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