nanog mailing list archives

Re: What does 95th %tile mean?


From: Alex Pilosov <alex () pilosoft com>
Date: Fri, 20 Apr 2001 09:57:55 -0400 (EDT)


On Fri, 20 Apr 2001 Toby_Williams () enron net wrote:

_95th%ile is not a robust mechanism for billing_
 It neither addresses variance nor average use effectively and can be gamed
quite easily. It's some kind of best fit system for billing buyers with "normal
behaviour".

Where in maths class did they ever say that scraping off the highest n percent
of a data set in isolation, gives a good indication of anything? Don't you need
to look at the mean and 90th percentile together to fairly evaulate
distribution.

I think the reason it's so popular currently is that it's easy to describe
(hence sell) and fits normal use reasonably well, so from a "normal buyer's"
perspective is OK. Just as long as everyone is honest.
Absolutely. Here's a scheme that, if everyone was using only 95th
percentile billing, would give you webhosting at gigabit rate while only
paying 30x minimal rate webhosting:

a) colocate hardware at 30 different datacenters at gigE speed, but billed
for 95th percentile.
b) have a DNS server that rotates records, pointing to a different
server each day.
c) bingo. Each of your providers will remove highest 95th percentile (1.5
days worth of traffic) and only bill you for minimal utilization. 


-alex



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